Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.020718 0.024146 0.027930 0.032412 0.037568 0.043312 0.050190
2025-11-02 0.014917 0.019176 0.024318 0.030964 0.039308 0.049417 0.062569
2025-11-09 0.011295 0.015823 0.021735 0.029979 0.041132 0.055641 0.075890
2025-11-16 0.009053 0.013687 0.020170 0.029832 0.043776 0.063068 0.091657
2025-11-23 0.007228 0.011714 0.018396 0.028970 0.045142 0.068775 0.105706
2025-11-30 0.006354 0.010953 0.018194 0.030268 0.049695 0.079464 0.128160
2025-12-07 0.005405 0.009874 0.017286 0.030267 0.052161 0.087213 0.147017
2025-12-14 0.004478 0.008648 0.015916 0.029253 0.052765 0.091990 0.161600
2025-12-21 0.003841 0.007812 0.015060 0.028942 0.054436 0.098597 0.179829
2025-12-28 0.003566 0.007599 0.015267 0.030530 0.059590 0.111630 0.210425
2026-01-04 0.003239 0.007221 0.015101 0.031376 0.063461 0.122777 0.238833
2026-01-11 0.002775 0.006477 0.014107 0.030465 0.063862 0.127607 0.256143
2026-01-18 0.002426 0.005927 0.013436 0.030139 0.065431 0.134923 0.279223
2026-01-25 0.002076 0.005309 0.012528 0.029186 0.065603 0.139559 0.297644
2026-02-01 0.001796 0.004801 0.011777 0.028454 0.066126 0.144928 0.318092
2026-02-08 0.001602 0.004468 0.011366 0.028415 0.068124 0.153500 0.345989
2026-02-15 0.001391 0.004048 0.010684 0.027642 0.068375 0.158398 0.366637
2026-02-22 0.001318 0.003981 0.010848 0.028911 0.073461 0.174277 0.412658
2026-03-01 0.001189 0.003735 0.010522 0.028925 0.075582 0.183795 0.445561
2026-03-08 0.001032 0.003377 0.009850 0.027959 0.075200 0.187576 0.465844
2026-03-15 0.000923 0.003138 0.009457 0.027666 0.076445 0.195250 0.495912
2026-03-22 0.000894 0.003139 0.009726 0.029188 0.082520 0.215035 0.556617
2026-03-29 0.000840 0.003053 0.009737 0.030000 0.086834 0.230971 0.609567